Alcoa Corp Valuation
| AA Stock | USD 56.85 3.79 6.25% |
At this time, the firm appears to be fairly valued. Alcoa Corp shows a prevailing Real Value of $61.96 per share. The current price of the firm is $56.85. Our model approximates the value of Alcoa Corp from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as profit margin of 0.09 %, and Return On Equity of 0.2 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Alcoa Corp's valuation include:
Price Book 2.5191 | Enterprise Value | Enterprise Value Ebitda 8.7402 | Price Sales 1.2112 | Forward PE 19.8807 |
Fairly Valued
Today
Please note that Alcoa Corp's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Alcoa Corp is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Alcoa Corp's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Alcoa Corp is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Alcoa Stock. However, Alcoa Corp's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 56.85 | Real 61.96 | Target 58.0 | Hype 61.86 | Naive 56.69 |
The real value of Alcoa Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Alcoa Corp Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Alcoa Corp's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Alcoa Corp's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Alcoa Corp helps investors to forecast how Alcoa stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Alcoa Corp more accurately as focusing exclusively on Alcoa Corp's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Alcoa Corp's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Alcoa Corp's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Alcoa Corp's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Alcoa Corp we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.
Alcoa Corp Cash |
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Alcoa Revenue by Product
Alcoa Corp Total Value Analysis
Alcoa Corp is presently forecasted to have takeover value of 16.29 B with market capitalization of 15.54 B, debt of 1000 K, and cash on hands of 1.6 B. Please note that takeover value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting mistakes. We encourage investors to methodically examine all of the Alcoa Corp fundamentals before making investment evaluation based on enterprise value of the company| Takeover Price | Market Cap | Debt Obligations | Cash |
16.29 B | 15.54 B | 1000 K | 1.6 B |
Alcoa Corp Investor Information
About 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Alcoa Corp was presently reported as 23.65. The company last dividend was issued on the 4th of November 2025. Alcoa Corp had 1000:801 split on the 1st of November 2016. Based on the analysis of Alcoa Corp's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Alcoa Corp is performing exceptionally good at the present time. It has a great likelihood to report excellent financial results in March.Alcoa Corp Asset Utilization
The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Alcoa Corp has an asset utilization ratio of 79.15 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.79 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Alcoa Corp is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.Alcoa Corp Profitability Analysis
Considering Alcoa Corp's profitability and operating efficiency indicators, Alcoa Corp is performing exceptionally good at the present time. It has a great likelihood to showcase excellent profitability results in March. Profitability indicators assess Alcoa Corp's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.Net Income | First Reported 2014-12-31 | Previous Quarter 232 M | Current Value 204 M | Quarterly Volatility 286.6 M |
| Current Value | Last Year | Change From Last Year | 10 Year Trend | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.14 | 0.1358 |
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For Alcoa Corp profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Alcoa Corp to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Alcoa Corp utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Alcoa Corp's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Alcoa Corp over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.
Alcoa Corp Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual
The next projected EPS of Alcoa Corp is estimated to be 1.2068 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.7437 to a high of 1.54. Alcoa Corp's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 4.42. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Alcoa Corp is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.Alcoa Corp Earnings Estimation Breakdown
The calculation of Alcoa Corp's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Alcoa Corp is estimated to be 1.2068 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.7437 to a high of 1.54. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Alcoa Corp is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.Last Reported EPS
0.74 Lowest | Expected EPS | 1.54 Highest |
Alcoa Corp Earnings Projection Consensus
Suppose the current estimates of Alcoa Corp's value are higher than the current market price of the Alcoa Corp stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Alcoa Corp is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Alcoa Corp's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
| Number of Analysts | Historical Accuracy | Last Reported EPS | Estimated EPS for 30th of June 2026 | Current EPS (TTM) | |
| 13 | 59.26% | 0.0 | 1.2068 | 4.42 |
Alcoa Corp Ownership Allocation
Alcoa Corp holds a total of 258.96 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Alcoa Corp outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Alcoa Corp to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Alcoa Corp. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Alcoa Corp as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. On January 14, 2026, Representative Julia Letlow of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of Alcoa Corp's common stock.Alcoa Corp Profitability Analysis
The company generated the yearly revenue of 12.83 B. Reported Net Income was 1.13 B with gross profit of 2.19 B.Alcoa Corp Past Distributions to stockholders
| 21st of November 2025 | ||
| 28th of August 2025 | ||
| 6th of June 2025 | ||
| 20th of March 2025 | ||
| 15th of November 2024 | ||
| 29th of August 2024 | ||
| 7th of June 2024 | ||
| 21st of March 2024 |
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Alcoa Corp's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Alcoa Corp and how it compares across the competition.
About Alcoa Corp Valuation
The stock valuation mechanism determines Alcoa Corp's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Alcoa Corp. We calculate exposure to Alcoa Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Alcoa Corp's related companies.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Gross Profit | 1.7 B | 1.4 B | |
| Pretax Profit Margin | 0.09 | 0.09 | |
| Operating Profit Margin | 0.08 | 0.08 | |
| Net Profit Margin | 0.09 | 0.09 | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.14 | 0.14 |
A single share of Alcoa Corp represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Alcoa, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.
Alcoa Corp Dividends Analysis For Valuation
At present, Alcoa Corp's Dividends Paid is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Dividend Yield is expected to grow to 0.01, whereas Dividend Payout Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.08. . The current year's Earnings Yield is expected to grow to 0.09, whereas Retained Earnings are forecasted to decline to (270.9 M).
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Dividends Paid | 105 M | 178.6 M | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Dividend Payout Ratio | 0.09 | 0.08 | |
| Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio | 1.64 | 1.46 |
There are various types of dividends Alcoa Corp can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Alcoa shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Alcoa Corp directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Alcoa pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Alcoa Corp by the value of the dividends paid out.
Alcoa Corp Growth Indicators
Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 263.3 M | |
| Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | 0.121 | |
| Forward Price Earnings | 19.8807 |
Alcoa Corp Current Valuation Indicators
Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Alcoa Corp and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Alcoa we look at many different elements of the entity such as Alcoa's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Alcoa Corp, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Alcoa Corp's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Alcoa Corp's worth.Complementary Tools for Alcoa Stock analysis
When running Alcoa Corp's price analysis, check to measure Alcoa Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alcoa Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Alcoa Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alcoa Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alcoa Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alcoa Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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